This Week’s News
- Results for the 1st Quarter of 2013
Results for the 1st Quarter of 2013
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This Week’s News
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Attracted by explosive economic growth in South America, original equipment manufacturers from around the globe have stepped up their investment and operations in the region. As OEMs expand their footprint into South America’s rural areas, they’re inventing new ways to address their most pressing challenge: building a supplier network that can deliver the same value the OEMs enjoy in other parts of the world.
To download 8-page report by Oliver Wyman, please click here.
http://www.globalautoindustry.com/content/dl_request-general.php?dl_id=1427&dl_type=4
Source: Oliver Wyman – GAI
Brazil’s government announced on Monday it would raise the statutory monthly minimum wage by an above-inflation 9% to 678 Reais (330 US dollars) a month, a rise that comes at the end of a year of tepid economic growth.
The government also said it would exempt from taxation up to 6,000 Reais from stock-market gains and profit-sharing plans, and announced new tax brackets setting out rates payable on gains larger than that. The highest would be 27.5% on earnings of 15,000 Reais or more.
The government of President Dilma Rousseff expects to forgo around 1.7 billion Reais in tax income as a result of the new exemptions.
Both measures, which were announced by the office of President Rousseff, will take effect on January first once they are published in the official journal. They must still be formally approved by Congress.
The increase in the minimum wage was higher than the 670.95 Reais that had been proposed in the government’s draft budget for 2013, which was sent to Congress at the end of August.
Economists forecast 2012 consumer price inflation will come in at 5.7%.
Economists have stuck to their forecasts for Brazil’s economic expansion this year but trimmed the outlook for growth in 2013, according to a weekly central bank survey showed on Monday. Estimates for 2012 and 2013 inflation were revised upwards.
Consumer prices should rise 5.69% in 2012, up from a forecast of 5.60% in the prior week, and 5.47% in 2013, up from an estimate of 5.42% previously. The government targets inflation at 4.5%, with a tolerance margin of 2 percentage points in each direction.
Source: MercoPress – GAI
This Week’s News
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Brazil’s government Thursday unveiled new tax breaks for auto companies that invest in science, technology and fuel efficiency. These are the latest measures to boost an industry that accounts for around 20% of the country’s economic output.
The government wants the auto industry to invest more as part of a broader effort to boost Brazil’s competitiveness and reignite economic growth. It spied what it sees as an opportunity because Brazil is the fourth-largest auto market in the world in terms of sales, but is seventh in terms of production.
“We want to reduce that difference,” Trade and Industry Minister Fernando Pimentel said in Brasilia at a news conference that was broadcast on television.
The auto industry has been in the doldrums as a result of a dramatic economic slowdown over the past couple of years, as well as a tightening of lending standards for auto loans. Temporary tax breaks introduced earlier this year led to a surge in sales, particularly in August, but sales slumped once again in September.
The incentives unveiled Thursday are designed to provide a longer-term framework for the auto industry, and the government wants companies to respond by investing yet more money in Brazil. Finance Minister Guido Mantega said auto manufacturers are already planning to invest $22 billion in Brazil over the next three years and said he wants that amount to rise.
According to Cledorvino Belini, president of auto maker association Anfavea, companies will likely need to boost investment by as much as $8 billion through 2015 to meet the new requirements.
All of the world’s top car makers are present in Brazil, with Fiat SpA (FIATY, F.MI) the top-selling auto maker in Brazil in September, followed by Volkswagen AG (VLKAY, VOW.XE), General Motors Co. (GM), Ford Motor Co. (F) and Renault SA (RNO.FR). China’s JAC Motors said Thursday it plans to break ground on a $450 million production-plant project in November, to start churning out vehicles from the end of 2014.
The companies are betting on low unemployment and rising incomes in Brazil, amid relative economic stability. Most see the current economic downturn–with growth this year estimated at around 1.6%–as temporary and expect growth to return to levels of 4% or more over the medium term.
The officials said Brazilian consumers would benefit from the measures, but September’s disappointing figures–which saw a 31% decline in sales from August–indicate a degree of exhaustion in sales. Car prices in Brazil are among the highest in the world, and locally produced cars are often cheaper overseas.
The tax incentives aren’t just for companies that manufacture in Brazil; car importers can also benefit if they commit to the rules, the minister said.
The country is adopting fuel-efficiency goals similar to those adopted in Europe, although the target date for achieving them is 2016, one year later than in Europe, Mr. Pimentel said.
The impact of the incentives should be felt throughout the entire production line of the automobile industry in Brazil, Mr. Pimentel said. The government isn’t setting a target for 100% local content in cars, believing that instead, local content will increase as a result of investments in research and development, he said.
The government doesn’t expect the new rules to be challenged by other countries at the World Trade Organization.
“There is no investigation at the WTO against Brazil, and there won’t be with these auto-industry incentives because they are perfectly within the rules of the WTO,” Finance Minister Guido Mantega said.
He went on to say that protectionism in the world today is “disguised,” via currency manipulation and hidden subsidies that aren’t detected by the WTO.
“We are just undertaking some defense measures to ensure that protectionism and the aggressive measures that countries take are neutralized here in Brazil,” Mr. Mantega said.
Source: Fox Business – GAI
Over the past decade, BRIC economies have taken the ICT world by the storm. While China overtook the United States to become the world’s biggest ICT exporter, Brazil proved the point that Latin America is not far behind. Both the countries are dreaming big: Brazil expects to double its ICT revenue from the current $212 billion to $430 billion by 2022, catapulting itself from the 5th position to the third in the global ICT market. And China, on the other hand, wants to become an “innovative nation” by 2020 and a “scientific superpower” by 2050.
As of now, China is far ahead of Brazil in the race for ICT supremacy. The Asian economic giant has the world’s largest number of Internet users and mobile handsets. China is also the largest PC market, and the second largest hardware market, according to Gartner.
Given a survey conducted by KPMG, 30 per cent of global business executives believe that China would become a global ‘hot spot’ for innovation within the next four years. Gartner estimated that spending by IT end users in China might grow from US$277 billion in 2011 to US$312 billion in 2012, an increase of 12.6 percent.
Brazil: Latin America’s Pride
Brazil, however, is not keeping quiet.The Brasscom IT Global Summit in Sao Paulo last week showcased what Brazil really stands for: a striking ability to combine technical skills with a highly inquisitive cultural orientation. A big part of the Brazil story is its focus on social inclusion, driven by a massive effort to raise up and ‘connect’ its citizens who have, so far, been apart from the tech boom. Internet penetration has been doubling over the past four years. The Latin American country, which has more than 83 million internet users, is gearing up to launch four innovation centers to build up a knowledge economy like that of China.
Its incentives have attracted major international companies to build R&D facilities, including Schlumberger, Baker Hughes, GE, FMC, IBM, and EMC among others. Brazil’s government has recently launched an ambitious program called “TI Maior” to boost its software and IT services industry. The government announced tax-breaks for the industry and vowed to invest in 150 start-ups. Brasscom itself has set a target of training 50,000 students in information technology by 2015.
Interestingly, Brazil imports over 60 percent of IT products from Asia. More than anything else, poor infrastructure has turned out be a major hurdle for investors. The average speed of broadband connection in the country is 1.8 Mbps, lower than the global average of 2.3 Mbps. And there are increasing number of complaints over patchy coverage and dropped calls from mobile consumers.
The ICT industry’s production is concentrated on a small number of transnational corporations, and they account for over 16 percent of the firms but over 70 percent of revenues, according to the Brazilian government agency, Instituto de Pesquisa Economica Aplicada(IPEA).
China’s Red Hot Growth
China on the other hand has taken the United States head on. China has groomed its own alternatives for the global technology giants: For Facebook there’s Renren. For Google, there’s Baidu. For eBay, there’s Alibaba. And for Twitter, there’s Sina Weibo. Chinese Lenovo has now become the world’s second-largest PC vendor.
In the domestic telecom sector, most of the big players are national companies. China Mobile is the world biggest telecom operator by number of customers, and domestic telecom equipment makers like ZTE and Huawei have grown to rival the global giants like Ericsson and Alcatel Lucent.
Brazil urgently needs to boost its human capital to catch up with China, analyst say. Brazil’s ICT sector requires about 78,000 people by 2014. But, according to Brasscom, there are only 33,000 youths studying ICT related courses in the country.
Human Capital & Education
According to the Financial Times, nearly 87 per cent of students who begin IT higher education courses in Brazil never end up graduating. Lack of basic mathematic ability and few clear specialist courses contribute to students dropping out half way through their journey.
As many as 38,000 engineers graduate annually in Brazil. But in China, 400,000 students pass through engineering courses every year. Also, R&D spending in Brazil is far behind. R&D investment rose from 0.96 per cent of GDP in 2003 to 1.16 per cent in 2010. According to China Daily, China spends 1.8 percent of GDP on R&D and that is set to rise to 2.2 percent by 2015.
But China’s path is certainly not free of troubles. Many of its big research projects often end up as white elephants. And the country constantly is accused of stealing the technological knowhow of successful Western companies. Google, for instances, fled China after it suspected someone was trying to steal its core technology.
Also, China’s telecom firms like Huawei and ZTE have been accused of acting as conduits for Chinese military intelligence. Worse still, China in recent years is being considered a haven for intellectual property pirates.
In the meantime, China has slipped to 29th rank in the recent Global Competitiveness Report produced by the Global Benchmarking Network. The report shows China’s poor performance in the areas of higher education and training and technological readiness.
Finally, the human capital crunch is also being felt from Beijing to Shenzhen. Dwindling talents at home is forcing some Chinese technology giants, like ZTE, to shift their R&D centers to India and elsewhere.
Source: NearShoreAmericas.com - GAI
This Week’s News
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